Scenario Framework
Built on two independent uncertainty drivers: the geopolitical framing of US capital and implementation scope/stringency. Click a quadrant to explore firm-specific implications.
US Capital = TRUSTED ALLY
US Capital = THIRD-COUNTRY RISK
Narrow / Investment-Friendly
Broad / Security-Maximalist
Regulation Explorer
Five regulatory pillars shaping transatlantic PE operations. Ordered by your firm's recommended priority.
Decision Node Navigator
14 high-leverage decision points where outcomes remain genuinely uncertain. Each node identifies the decision, key stakeholders, and impact.
Tactical Playbook
Stakeholder Map
The meta-finding: the five regulations share decision-makers. A strategic engagement programme should be organised around institutional actors, not individual regulatory workstreams.
Early Indicators & Monitoring
Track these indicators to assess which scenario is materialising and which decision nodes are resolving.